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8311 [lbo-talk] Edison says... -- rank: 1000

Joe Lenski, research director of Edison Research - which does a lot of exit polls, including New Hampshire - just posted this to the AAPOR list, in response to some of the theories about vote count manipulation circulating on the net. > I don't usually want to even discuss these unsubstantiated claims of > election fraud. They are usually made by people who want to believe > something first and then pick and choose among the tea-leaves for a > few > random "facts" th ...

Document Size:	5754
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Thu Jan 10 11:54:00 PST 2008

8312 [lbo-talk] audio with some guy -- rank: 1000

<http://www.dailymole.com/wordpress/2008/01/10/molecast-audio-is-it- recession-yet-doug-henwood-explains-who-decides-how-and-where-we-stand/> or <http://tinyurl.com/35yj43> Molecast audio: Is it recession yet? Doug Henwood explains who decides, how, and where we stand By Steve Perry January 10, 2008 11:14 am In this Molecast, author and business/economics journalist Doug Henwood (who publishes Left Business Observer and hosts a weekly radio show on NYC s WBAI) returns to explain h ...

Document Size:	5730
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Thu Jan 10 11:23:17 PST 2008

8313 [lbo-talk] what can tony possibly advise about? -- rank: 1000

On Jan 10, 2008, at 12:30 PM, ulisse mangialaio wrote: > how come does an elite institution like jpm think of hiring the > faulty intelligence of blair? He knows a lot of influential people, it impresses clients, and makes the JPMorgan people feel more important. Doug

Document Size:	4863
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Thu Jan 10 10:29:52 PST 2008

8314 [lbo-talk] Has anyone commented on jon stewart under someotherthread ... ? -- rank: 1000

On Jan 10, 2008, at 12:02 AM, 3.3.3. wrote: > If this list is so absolutely piss scared of Obamafascism and his > "knife in > the heart"(glenn ford on counterpunch) of black radicalism, then > when are > all of you serious and deep liberals going to start criticizing the > Daily > Show/Colbert satire as a convenient outlet for critical energy, a > manipulation of public image, and enabler of the war economy... That's meant as self-parody, right? Or some form of ...

Document Size:	5547
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Thu Jan 10 05:56:04 PST 2008

8315 [lbo-talk] Rove on HRC -- rank: 1000

Wall Street Journal - January 10, 2008 <http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119992615845679531.html> Why Hillary Won By KARL ROVE What would Shakespeare's Jack Cade say after the New Hampshire Democratic primary? Maybe the demagogue in "Henry VI" would call for the pollsters to be killed first, not the lawyers. The opinion researchers find themselves in a difficult place after most predicted a big Obama sweep. It's not their fault. The dirty secret is it is hard to accurately pol ...

Document Size:	12997
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Thu Jan 10 05:41:30 PST 2008

8316 [lbo-talk] more on the NH polls -- rank: 1000

New York Times - January 10, 2008 <http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/10/opinion/10kohut.html> Getting It Wrong By ANDREW KOHUT Washington THE failure of the New Hampshire pre-election surveys to mirror the outcome of the Democratic race is one of the most significant miscues in modern polling history. All the published polls, including those that surveyed through Monday, had Senator Barack Obama comfortably ahead with an average margin of more than 8 percent. These same polls showed no s ...

Document Size:	10261
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Thu Jan 10 05:35:54 PST 2008

8317 [lbo-talk] AAPOR on New Hampshire Polls -- rank: 1000

On Jan 9, 2008, at 6:38 PM, Marta Russell wrote: > It seems they focus on the poll system only not the tabulation of > votes. This email is from Marcy > Winograd who ran for congress against Jane Harman. I don't get this. Did Hillary manipulate the Diebold count? I thought Diebold was a Republican company. Did the Republicans manipulate it because they thought Hillary is the weaker candidate? Doug

Document Size:	4986
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 19:57:19 PST 2008

8318 [lbo-talk] AAPOR on New Hampshire Polls -- rank: 1000

On Jan 9, 2008, at 9:27 PM, Michael Pollak wrote: > I assume someone else must have thought of this first and dismissed > it for > a good reason, but I haven't run into it yet. I haven't seen anything. By the way, here's a review of it all: <http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenumbers/2008/01/new-hampshires.html>.

Document Size:	4980
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 19:07:53 PST 2008

8319 [lbo-talk] AAPOR on New Hampshire Polls -- rank: 1000

On Jan 9, 2008, at 5:04 PM, Jerry Monaco wrote: > What is your opinion of this statement? Seems pretty reasonable. It is true that the pollsters were pretty close on Obama's share, and there were a high level of undecideds - from 8-20%, depending on the poll. It seems like a lot of voters broke at the last minute for Hillary, and her Emotional Moment seems to have had something to do with it. The only way to take in this campaign is as some kind of comic ritual. Also, it is very hard to ...

Document Size:	5260
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 14:20:50 PST 2008

8320 [lbo-talk] TNR -- rank: 1000

On Jan 9, 2008, at 5:00 PM, C. G. Estabrook wrote: > Counterpunch has always shown a catholic (so to speak) willingness to > publish a wide range of opinion, including those with which the > editors > don't agree (and they don't always agree with one another). I don't > always agree with them (e.g., on aspects of the Green party) when they > do agree, but their unwillingness to be bound by the liberal limits of > allowable debate seems to me a strength. Yeah, it's always re ...

Document Size:	5964
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 14:17:12 PST 2008

8321 [lbo-talk] AAPOR on New Hampshire Polls -- rank: 1000

AAPOR statement -- In the wake of the New Hampshire primary, much press coverage has been focused on the pre-election polls, in particular on the Democratic presidential primary. Headlines indicate that pre-election polls were misleading or wrong. Yes, all of the pre-election polls showed Senator Obama ahead in the final pre-election polls. Clearly, on this count, they all failed to reflect the eventual outcome. But the polls also were surprisingly accurate in measuring support for candid ...

Document Size:	8948
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 13:36:48 PST 2008

8322 [lbo-talk] TNR -- rank: 1000

On Jan 9, 2008, at 3:46 PM, C. G. Estabrook wrote: > liberal > shibboleths on race Oh yeah, the neo-Confederates are awful! And they're Ron's pals. Is being against a revival of the CSA a liberal shibboleth? Doug

Document Size:	4550
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 13:08:06 PST 2008

8323 [lbo-talk] TNR -- rank: 1000

On Jan 9, 2008, at 3:46 PM, C. G. Estabrook wrote: > It does seem however that Paul's refusal to do the ritual obeisance to > Israel (as Obama, Edwards and Clinton did) is TNR's motive for a hit > piece by its editor. The piece is based on material from a newsletter > about which Paul has been pilloried for a while. (See note 2 below) > > Paul's second sin -- and the vulnerability that TNR wants to use > against > a presumed enemy of Israel -- may be a failure to repeat ...

Document Size:	5239
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 13:07:11 PST 2008

8324 [lbo-talk] Obama-mania: where is the true danger? -- rank: 1000

On Jan 9, 2008, at 12:41 PM, Dwayne Monroe wrote: > When, for example, Creflo Dollar (wiki the name if you're unfamiliar) Liza & I actually went to one of his events at Madison Square Garden. (We were the only white folks in the audience, by the way.) It was the most extraordinary and weird thing. People spoke in tongues, but all Creflo spoke about was money. He wanted them to give him some, and in return, God would shower them with prosperity someday. He actually said that even if y ...

Document Size:	5369
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 11:29:22 PST 2008

8325 [lbo-talk] Agee, he dead -- rank: 1000

Guardian (London) - January 9, 2008 <http://www.guardian.co.uk/usa/story/0,,2237937,00.html> Outspoken CIA agent Philip Agee dies Philip Agee, a former CIA agent who became a bitter critic of Washington's Cuba policy, has died aged 72, Cuban state media reported today. Agee quit the CIA in 1969 after 12 years, mainly working in Latin America. He was later denounced as a traitor by George Bush Sr and was threatened with death by his former colleagues. His famous 1975 book, Inside the Co ...

Document Size:	5381
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Jan 9 08:40:32 PST 2008