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23791 [lbo-talk] Re: Insured unemployment -- rank: 1000

Michael Pollak wrote: >So does this mean that the majority of the umemployed at any given >time are long-term, structural unemployed? Depends on what you mean. To be counted as unemployed you have to be actively searching for work. Many of the long-term structural unemployed don't qualify, so they're either coded as "discouraged" or "not in labor force." Here's the breakdown of the officially unemployed in July: <http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t09.htm> Tot ...

Document Size:	5424
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 15:33:59 PDT 2004

23792 [lbo-talk] The Importance of Disenfranchising Nader/Camejo Voters -- rank: 1000

Michael Pollak wrote: >Gallup's numbers for this week are just downright weird. They are. They'll probably become less weird in the next few iterations.

Document Size:	4901
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 15:28:04 PDT 2004

23793 [lbo-talk] Re: Insured unemployment -- rank: 1000

Michael Pollak wrote: > >On Mon, 9 Aug 2004, Doug Henwood wrote: > >>About 42% of the officially unemployed are drawing benefits. > >So a majority of workers fall through the cracks in monetary terms? Yup. In the early 70s, about 62% of the unemployed were drawing benefits; ever since the early 1980s, it's averaged in the low 40s. Doug

Document Size:	4928
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 15:03:22 PDT 2004

23794 [lbo-talk] The Importance of Disenfranchising Nader/Camejo Voters -- rank: 1000

mike larkin wrote: >Whatever it takes to keep Nader off the ballot in battleground >states, I'm for it. I'll burn the signature cards myself. Hey, that's not fair. U.S. ballot access restrictions suck - they were designed to impede democracy and grease elite rule. I don't like Ralph's candidacy, but it's his right to run. If it weren't so hard to get on the ballot, we wouldn't be facing this dismal choice. Doug

Document Size:	5223
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 14:21:11 PDT 2004

23795 [lbo-talk] The Importance of Disenfranchising Nader/Camejo Voters -- rank: 1000

Yoshie Furuhashi wrote: >Because, contrary to what Anybody But Nader intellectuals claim, >Nader has been polling slightly better in 2004 than in 2000, >according to Gallup: "Nader 2004 > Nader 2000": ><http://montages.blogspot.com/2004/08/nader-2004-nader-2000.html>. Not anymore. (polls dated by closing date) Bush Gore Nader Buchanan 4/30/00 44 42 4 4 6/7/00 43 42 5 3 6/25/00 47 ...

Document Size:	6872
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 14:18:53 PDT 2004

23796 [lbo-talk] FOMC statement -- rank: 1000

[No surprise in the increase. The statement is one size fits all - not committing themselves to much of anything. But they do seem to think that both the slowdown in June and the rise in prices are transitory.] <http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/press/monetary/2004/20040810/default.htm> Release Date: August 10, 2004 For immediate release The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 1-1/2 percent. The Committee be ...

Document Size:	6785
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 11:46:31 PDT 2004

23797 [lbo-talk] Gawker on Hitch -- rank: 1000

<http://www.gawker.com/topic/christopher-hitchens-nouveau-historian-019115.php> AUG 09 2004 Christopher Hitchens, Nouveau Historian We've ignored our favorite liquor-tippler and Vanity Fair crazy-man Christopher Hitchens lately, but that's just because we were tired of the recurring nightmares. We'd even repressed our memories of the reissue of his 1990 book, Blood, Class and Empire. A reader reminds us of his existence with this hilarious Amazon.com user review of the book: Hitchens, with ...

Document Size:	7473
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 10:16:48 PDT 2004

23798 [lbo-talk] Re: Insured unemployment -- rank: 1000

Nathan Newman wrote: >As I said, I like having good data as well. I'm just skeptical of the data >the government is using. Why do I suspect that were there a Dem in the White House, you'd be defending the public sector against cheap attacks by know-nothings? Doug

Document Size:	4792
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 09:51:54 PDT 2004

23799 [lbo-talk] Bush econ agenda -- rank: 1000

Wall Street Journal - August 10, 2004 Bush Unveils Economic Priorities President's Proposals Frame Contrast With Rival Kerry, But Strike Some as Timid By JACOB M. SCHLESINGER and JACKIE CALMES Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL WASHINGTON -- Handcuffed by big budget deficits but eager to show voters a fresh economic agenda, President Bush laid out the central economic theme of his re-election campaign: He is pledging to create an "era of ownership" that will include proposals t ...

Document Size:	11330
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 09:46:04 PDT 2004

23800 [lbo-talk] Crudele revisited -- rank: 1000

I just excavated an old thread, from March 2000, on John Crudele's analysis of the CPI. Relevant excerpts: >At 4:13 PM -0500 3/5/00, Doug Henwood wrote: >>http://nypostonline.com/business/25545.htm >> >>Doug, are things really *this* bad at the BLS? This Crudele guy tends to >>exaggerate;is it true that without those "ex-anything that goes up" >>adjustments inflation would have been an annualized 12% last month? > >Sorry to take so long to respond ...

Document Size:	10444
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 09:35:05 PDT 2004

23801 [lbo-talk] Ralph: I've never had a credit card -- rank: 1000

New York Times - August 10, 2004 FREQUENT FLIER Annoyances and Enthusiasms on the Campaign Trail RALPH NADER An independent presidential candidate I am taller than is facilitated by the cramped seats of the airlines that try to put in two extra rows. For tall people, they basically sell a ticket for all of you to go on the plane but your knees. Their motto could be, "Will travel, leave your knees behind." You know what I say to people when I'm in one of Delta's or United's cramped seat ...

Document Size:	8502
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 09:15:34 PDT 2004

23802 [lbo-talk] Re: Insured unemployment -- rank: 1000

Nathan Newman wrote: >I recognize that you worry about the stats, but a lot of your arguments are >based on some reliability in those statistics, so you can "a-hah" the folks >who make more than you. Actually, I got into studying the stats to make sense of the world, and to ah-hah all the naive leftists who would dilate exuberantly without much empirical grounding. I was initially very impressed with the way Baran & Sweezy used economic numbers in Monopoly Capital, and bac ...

Document Size:	7112
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 09:09:22 PDT 2004

23803 [lbo-talk] church & the vote -- rank: 1000

The Gallup Poll Tuesday Briefing Election 2004 August 10, 2004 An Election Year Puzzle by Jeffrey M. Jones and Joseph Carroll Recent Gallup analyses of 2004 voting preference data have revealed an interesting puzzle. Regular churchgoers are much more likely to support George W. Bush, while non-churchgoers overwhelmingly support John Kerry. Men -- particularly white men -- are much less likely to attend church than are women of any race or ethnicity (see "U.S. Churches Looking for a Few Whit ...

Document Size:	10130
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 06:44:12 PDT 2004

23804 [lbo-talk] Re:naderphobia -- rank: 1000

frank scott wrote: >"Dems challenging Nader's ballot petitions (Pennsylvania)" > >and wait till they find the mass graves of his petitioners... > >genocide! > >homophobia! Is that an argument, or a witticism? Doug

Document Size:	4758
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Tue Aug 10 06:23:10 PDT 2004

23805 [lbo-talk] Re: Insured unemployment -- rank: 1000

Nathan Newman wrote: >You didn't say "compared to the UI universe of employers", so those who >heard you talking of comparing to the UI records are not crazy to think you >were referring to comparisons to those filing for unemployment insurance. > >But frankly, saying that 97% of US workers are registered with the UI >system seems inherently unlikely. The GAO estimates that 6.3% of the >population are independent contractors and another 4.8% are self-employed. Ind ...

Document Size:	7196
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Mon Aug 9 17:04:57 PDT 2004