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13726 [lbo-talk] exit poll -- rank: 1000

Data connoisseurs: CNN has detailed exit poll data at <http:// www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/US/H/00/epolls. 0.html>. That's the national House electorate, which is the broadest; other versions are available too. Items of note: * the gender gap was about 8 points (women for Dems, that is) * white men went 9 points for Reps; white women, 1 point for Reps * nonwhite men went 52 points for Dems; nonwhite women, 57 points * income is a good predictor of vote, in a near-perfec ...

Document Size:	5185
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 12:44:26 PST 2006

13727 [lbo-talk] Pew: the centrists done it -- rank: 1000

<http://pewresearch.org/obdeck/?ObDeckID=88> Centrists Deliver for Democrats In an election that proved to be a referendum on Bush and Iraq, political independents cast the deciding votes Pew Research Center for the People & the Press November 8, 2006 The political center forcefully asserted itself in Tuesday's midterms. The national exit poll showed that political independents, who divided their votes evenly between George Bush and John Kerry in 2004, swung decisively in favor of ...

Document Size:	8290
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 12:32:55 PST 2006

13728 [lbo-talk] income & voting -- rank: 1000

According to the exit polls, 40% of voters in House races had household incomes of under $50,000; according to the Census, 53% of all U.S. households do; 23% of voters had incomes over $100,000, vs. 17% of all households. The former were under-represented by about 25%; the latter, over-represented by about 33%. Doug

Document Size:	4785
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 12:30:45 PST 2006

13729 [lbo-talk] What the results tell us... -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 2:47 PM, Julio Huato wrote: > oug replied to my remarks: > >>> stopping the war in Iraq, >> >> Not necessarily - they just want a little less of it. Lamont lost and >> Lieberman won in a liberal state. Immediate withdrawal gets little >> support, and a lot of the Dems who won were chosen by Emmanuel >> because they weren't seriously antiwar. > > I think *this* is going to be the contentious issue in interpreting > the outco ...

Document Size:	6142
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 12:16:21 PST 2006

13730 [lbo-talk] What the results tell us... -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 2:16 PM, Wojtek Sokolowski wrote: > That is a problem - you seem to prefer ideological purity to > pragmatism. I share your opinion of the American system, but I do > not think > that rebuilding it from the scratch is a viable option. Nothing > ever is > rebuilt from the scratch - even the most revolutionary movements > are built > on the already existing institutional resources. > Division of labor, Woj. Moderate reformism is powerless without a ...

Document Size:	5365
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 11:37:39 PST 2006

13731 [lbo-talk] [Fwd: [Marxism] Latinos sank the Republicans in the mid-term elections] -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 1:55 PM, Carrol Cox quoted: > This year, according to exit poll figures apparently noticed only by > CNN's Spanish-language network, the Republican vote among Latinos > crashed to > 26%, and the Democrats got 73%, a full 20-point improvement on the > 2004 > figure. This was pointed out in the ABC News exit poll analysis I posted this morning. Doug

Document Size:	5440
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 11:24:54 PST 2006

13732 [lbo-talk] the netroots -- rank: 1000

<http://www.thenation.com/blogs/notion?bid=15&pid=138101> The Netroots Election? Not So Fast ari melber Howard Dean, Nancy Pelosi and Rahm Emanuel say they are happy to share credit for the Democrats' electoral success, but not everyone in the party is feeling as generous. Progressive bloggers, who often promote and criticize the Democratic Party with equal vigor, want their props. MyDD blogger Chris Bowers concluded that netroots activists were crucial to victory--long before the ...

Document Size:	10897
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 11:22:15 PST 2006

13733 [lbo-talk] Ariel Levy on Courtney Love -- rank: 1000

[in non-election news] New York - November 13, 2006 <http://nymag.com/arts/popmusic/profiles/23755/index.html> There's a Thin Line Between Love and Hate Some people suffer for their art. Courtney Love suffers at the expense of it. By Ariel Levy Male rock stars who've sung songs about rage pretty much grow on trees. You can get them unbridled from the Sex Pistols or self- deprecating from the Violent Femmes or sardonic from Elvis Costello or sexy from the Rolling Stones. But the female r ...

Document Size:	11579
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 10:43:02 PST 2006

13734 [lbo-talk] What the results tell us... -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 12:14 PM, Chuck wrote: > What gets me is that people can witness countless elections and the > ongoing shittiness of politics and still have faith in the system. People overvalue new information at the expense of what they've known for a long time. That's really visible in the financial markets, where the same thing happens over & over again (e.g. speculative bubbles), but there's always a reason why "this time it's different." Doug

Document Size:	5049
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 10:25:15 PST 2006

13735 [lbo-talk] ABC exit poll analysis -- rank: 1000

ABC NEWS EXIT POLL ANALYSIS 11/8/06 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Much-Diminished GOP Absorbs the Voters Ire A much-diminished Republican president and his party stood before the voters Tuesday, their support corroded by an unpopular war. And the voters let them know it. Fifty-seven percent in the national exit poll disapproved of the way George W. Bush is handling his job, 56 percent disapproved of the war in Iraq and 55 percent the most since 1994 said the country is headed seriously off o ...

Document Size:	34679
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 07:54:06 PST 2006

13736 [lbo-talk] What the results tell us... -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 10:41 AM, Julio Huato wrote: > stopping the war in Iraq, Not necessarily - they just want a little less of it. Lamont lost and Lieberman won in a liberal state. Immediate withdrawal gets little support, and a lot of the Dems who won were chosen by Emmanuel because they weren't seriously antiwar. > changing course in the economy, Raise the minimum wage, yes; let the tax cuts expire in 2010, maybe; how else? > stopping the attack on immigrants, Except for the Englis ...

Document Size:	5403
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 08:03:54 PST 2006

13737 [lbo-talk] What the results tell us... -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 10:41 AM, Julio Huato wrote: > Potentially, this is a shift to the left. In a relative sense, yes, but as much as it pains me to admit it, the uber-conventional Ron Brownstein is probably right - the Reps were too ideological, too far to the right, and the U.S. electorate wanted something mushier and more centrist. I'm guessing Pelosi is going to try to act "reasonable" and bipartisan (I hope The Nation doesn't reprise its "Ready to Rumble" Pelosi c ...

Document Size:	5149
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 08:01:20 PST 2006

13738 [lbo-talk] Re: Nothing's the matter with Kansas -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 9:04 AM, BklynMagus wrote: >> Hmm, I'm sure most of you who are still up are watching > the networks and seeing crap like that Ford guy talk about > Jesus in his concession speech. > > Actually I was asleep, but woke up to the crap of a Black > man being dissed for talking about his faith. > > Guess he didn't get Massa's memo on what not to say. Brian, that's not fair at all. Chuck has long made it clear that he's seriously annoyed by the role of Je ...

Document Size:	5373
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 07:34:56 PST 2006

13739 [lbo-talk] the Wall Street view -- rank: 1000

[early commentary by Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg] Early election response: It does indeed look like the DEMS far exceeded expectations - more than just picking up the 15 seats they needed to regain control of the House. At last count, it was 227 DEM, 191 GOP and 17 undecided. In the Senate, so far it is a draw at 49-49, but the two states still counting (Montana and Virginia) show the DEMS ahead by about 1% (in the event of a 50-50 draw, VP Cheney would get to make the choice a ...

Document Size:	7305
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 07:11:03 PST 2006

13740 [lbo-talk] What the results tell us... -- rank: 1000

On Nov 8, 2006, at 9:25 AM, Sean Andrews wrote: > Katrina VH on Charlie Rose I await the troubled Nation editorial in November 2007: it all seemed so promising a year ago, what happened? Doug

Document Size:	4772
Author:	Doug Henwood
Date:	Wed Nov 8 07:07:21 PST 2006